Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 375.145226 425.239182 480.643642 546.656482 623.411894 710.134305 815.944815
2025-12-28 309.049863 377.107577 459.121659 566.037376 702.906826 873.824145 1105.890896
2026-01-04 275.874585 353.247222 451.923651 588.613288 775.598208 1026.166702 1393.738406
2026-01-11 245.341827 326.301883 434.302423 591.407966 818.308304 1140.753691 1645.863429
2026-01-18 217.375784 298.213088 410.111717 579.653454 835.984479 1219.017895 1854.310351
2026-01-25 195.116790 274.976022 389.144073 568.447180 850.827919 1292.356994 2064.014869
2026-02-01 183.543392 265.508502 386.431553 583.178877 905.876318 1434.014722 2407.737604
2026-02-08 169.571884 250.850623 374.054118 580.768281 932.117866 1530.928534 2689.370457
2026-02-15 156.712150 236.547555 360.564443 574.555171 950.393952 1615.510561 2961.806921
2026-02-22 147.581045 227.168209 353.787601 578.365013 985.816181 1734.538192 3321.142788
2026-03-01 136.974320 214.447902 340.291209 568.936700 995.830183 1807.027480 3598.515968
2026-03-08 128.573934 204.624260 330.669749 565.135742 1015.412328 1899.981194 3936.152758
2026-03-15 117.556572 189.769969 311.572472 542.860803 998.206421 1919.557050 4120.771390
2026-03-22 114.188381 187.712835 314.544814 561.869300 1064.761489 2122.506130 4777.383215
2026-03-29 111.564190 186.678084 319.133661 584.281225 1140.996317 2358.381892 5571.243418
2026-04-05 106.371238 180.640935 314.042794 587.048269 1176.101601 2507.865518 6179.116743
2026-04-12 99.740306 171.500743 302.414288 575.394466 1178.261206 2580.921377 6596.993350
2026-04-19 93.758693 163.134069 291.585570 564.283377 1180.185238 2653.634019 7032.111307
2026-04-26 91.322827 161.202933 292.952733 578.889811 1242.851367 2887.364618 8008.494702
2026-05-03 87.128988 155.633071 286.730399 576.499747 1265.104865 3021.161604 8711.922961
2026-05-10 82.848522 149.609105 279.140487 570.339497 1277.421430 3130.675379 9367.702145
2026-05-17 79.901801 145.988925 276.130161 574.116936 1314.871685 3315.623062 10337.177065
2026-05-24 75.871005 139.965916 267.736051 564.768749 1317.719240 3403.277582 10986.725445